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irstupid on 05 October 2017
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fatslob-:O said:
RolStoppable said:

You are mixing up numbers. Nintendo's fiscal year starts in April and we've only got one quartely report so far. Switch's launch month fell into the previous fiscal year and has no connection to the 10m units that were forecasted for the current fiscal year. The upcoming earnings release on October 30 will be only the second chance to announce an adjustment to the forecast.

I realize that Nintendo's fiscal year starts at April, I was using quarters in respect to calendar year ... 

Nintendo will have had 3 chances to set forecasts, the first and initial one being last quarter of last fiscal year then the first quarter of this this fiscal year (which they didn't change) then the second quarter of this fiscal year too ... 

RolStoppable said:

I don't remember what your point about 3DS's price advantage was. When it comes to long term sales, a console like Switch that can go for over a year without a price cut has the advantage, because it can use price cuts down the line to sustain higher sales. What I was trying to tell you in the previous post is that selling 13m units without a price cut is a stronger position than selling 15m units with a significant price cut.

It was the fact that the 3DS was built around a lower price point is an advantage in similar vein to the Wii. Being built around a higher price point like the Switch is not smething to be praised for when we take a look at the PS3 which struggled with it's inflated price point ... 

The 3DS was very elastic in terms of marginal cost but the same cannot be said of the Switch which will almost never be seen at a $200 or below MSRP for the next 2 years ... (these are very slow times when component costs aren't falling down fast enough in the Switch's favour compared to the 3DS back then) 

RolStoppable said:

The possibility that Switch could end up behind the 3DS comes exclusively down to production capacities, not demand. You are trying too hard to score a win in an argument.

That issue is overblown, if Nvidia is able to sell Shield consoles for $200 right now which features similar technology to the Switch then I'm sure Nintendo themselves have more than enough overhead to increase production ... (even if we're considering the possibility that Nvidia is not making making any profit off of the Shield system and the fact that the Switch is more integrated while Nintendo has to pay licensing fees too) 

Why do you care so much about Nintendo upping their forecast? Upping a forecast doesn't really help a company out versus the risk. A company meets their forecast and the stock sits even. A company beats their forecast and stock rises slightly. A company doesn't meet their forecast, even if by just a dollar, stock plumets.

THere really isnt' much of a benefit to raising forecast. Sure when they announce the increase, stock will go up slightly, but not enough to warrent the extra risk of not meeting forecast.