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Soundwave said:
Based on what we're at now, even with solid early success I would say this is a pretty overblown prediction.

If they make many models including basically a successor in 3-4 years that they sell concurrently with older models .... maaaaaaybe, but even then thy would need a ton of top tier third party support to even get close to 130 IMO.

Nintendo doesn't have enough top selling franchises, they'll already have used Zelda/Mario 3D/Mario Kart/Splatoon by year end, leaving Pokemon, Smash, and Animal Crossing really as their top tier selling IP for the rest of the generation. Successive sequels don't have the same impact as it generally just attracts the same audience over and over again.

Unlike Wii, the motion games on Switch like 1,2 Switch and ARMS are not taking off in anywhere close to the same fashion, so Switch is largely going to have to sell to traditional gamers and I dunno, 130 is a big ask.

I agree.  They're running out of flagship franchises within the first year and we still haven't seen solid third party support outside of ports and indie games.