DonFerrari on 18 September 2017
| superchunk said: XboxOne will likely remain for sell in some form until Switch is about 4 yrs old. I would guess that at the current rate, Xbox One family will top out around 65MM. I would guess that if Switch can remain popular, take over portable titles, become 100% solution for 1st party, and get continuous 3rd party support (this does not mean AAA parity), then it will top out around 80MM. Why only 80MM when revisions of the other consoles allowed them to sustain high yearly sales? Switch will be impacted more from the new gen hardware in MSony at the same time and I'm betting some of the AAA launch titles won't be on the latest version of Switch at that time. Thus Nintendo will need to put out its 3rd Switch revision (Switch 2) which would then count as a separate console family. Where these cross would likely be in Switch's 5th year. |
Considering X1 is already on decline and haven't crossed 31M I find it very difficult that it will more than double in the next 4 years.
duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363
Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994
Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."
