When will the Switch outsell 3DS (lifetime)?

[fatslob-:O]

Possibly never or on the more optimistic side, in about 5 years ...

Even Nintendo themselves are expecting that the Switch will be behind the 3DS in their respective first calendar years. 3DS will have sold 12.5M units by the end of 2011 while the Switch will either end with 10/11M units at the end of 2017 in spite of the fact that the Switch has had a stronger line up so far ... (Nintendo expects to ship 13M Switch units by the end of this fiscal year.)

For the next consecutive 4 years, annual sales would have to grow by roughly 50%(!) compared to 2017 and be maintained too all under the assumption that the 3DS sell a little under 75M units ... (Means that Switch would have to sell at least around 16M units units each year to be able to outsell 3DS in 5 years.)

For the Switch to be able to outsell 3DS, the platform would have to track pretty closely in comparison to the PS4 all the while it won't be able to reap the benefits of pricing and revisions early on like it's predecessors did (DS/3DS) ...