caffeinade said:
Pemalite said:
I think 2018 might be a decent year with 2019 being a massive bust, 2017 would have been a much larger failure, but the Xbox One X should help it out, especially over the Holiday period.
2018 could potentially have: Crackdown, Halo 6, Forza, Gears 5, Sea of Thieves, State of Decay 2, Ori and the will of wisps and maybe a few other titles which might get announced before then, the Xbox One X might help improve numbers slightly as well.
I just don't see anything of value for 2019. No new hardware, no new big games due to multi-year development cycles...
With that, Switch is not showing any signs of slowing, if Nintendo sorts out it's supply drama's, they might do significantly better than current projections would hint at.
I'm going to go with 4 years. Only because 2018 could be better than expected, with the potential for it to blow out to 5 years if Nintendo doesn't get supply under control.
|
Aside from being a halo product, I don't expect much in the way of direct sales with the XxX.
I think we could see the Switch, or a version of it at the price of about $200 before the end of 2020.
That would be a large driver in sales especially combined with Pokemon, natural celebrity endorsement, and enhanced visibility.
The Switch is finally the console that could potentially break into the mainstream in a good way for the industry (ie, not like the Wii, or as a media hub like the PS2).
The weakest part of the visual design is how it looks in the dock, everything else (like a big vent at the top) can and should be nullified by a Switch revision.
Anyway the numbers are wild guesses that I came up with on the spot.
|
Someone that still think the main reason for PS2 success was it being a DVD player, that certainly explain 1.5B SW sold without online and being easily hackeable to play pirates.
Pemalite said:
UltimateGamer1982 said:
According to Microsoft, those were only for the super limited Scorpio edition. Of course it would sell out quickly if only a small number were being produced. But without numbers, that statement doesn't hold much weight. The regular edition X isn't available for preorder yet.
|
I am aware. But it does set a thing called a "Precedent".
Besides, most consoles typically sell super well on their launch, even consoles that ended up being some of the biggest flops like the Wii U.. Which means it will have an effect over this Holiday Period, just like the Playstation 4 Pro did after it's initial release.
The important question is... Will Microsoft be able to carry that momentum like Nintendo with the Switch? Over the long term, most people would stamp that with a big fat "no".
|
2 points, PS4Pro is still selling above Sony prediction and have stock issues... and even Dreamcast had "record breaking" release.
ThisGuyFooks said:
Azzanation said:
Nintendo have used 2 of there big cards already with Mario and Zelda this year. Pokemon and Metroid 4 become there next hand however we forget X1 still has Halo 6 and Sea of Thieves as there next big line up. So the way its going i see 4 years if MS next hand doesnt do well which i daubt will be the case. So expect big numbers from X1 next year. |
Did you just compared Pokemon to Sea of Thieves when it comes to selling systems? Wow...
Did you forget Microsoft already played the Halo Card with Halo 5?
Im sorry, but did you really compared Pokemon to Sea of Thieves?!
IMO the Xbox One family will remain at No. 3 (Or No. 4 if we are counting the 3DS), so obviously how long will depend on how fast the gap will grow month after month.
|
For some reason, everything MS does is more relevant than Sony and even Nintendo first party. Even though he only cares about PC.
Bandorr said:
The switch is still having stock issue, and has a ton more games to come.
While XB1 seems to be releasing less and less games while concentrating on putting those games on PC.
Two seems a bit too early. Three is possible. But 4 seems like a given. Which is fairly hilarious since the X1 has a (almost) 4 year advantage. Almost poetic. |
That would basically means a sales rate of about 2x that of X1, similar to what PS4 have... is achievable.
