StarDoor said:
derpysquirtle64 said:
If we assume that Xbox One sells 8 million this year and switch will end up selling 12 million, then we will have 36m xboxes versus 12 million switches by the end of the year. In 2018, Xbox will probably end up at 44-45 million while switch at 26-28. So, 2020 will be the earliest when switch will overtake xb1. Probably even in 2021.
P.S. Though it is hard to predict because there are many factors that can change the sales pace of both consoles. Switch can have a huge boost when Pokémon game releases. Also, we don’t know anything about MS first party situation which can increase Xbox sales or decrease if MS continues not investing in first party like this year. Also, let’s not forget that MS as they said themselves decided to go generation less way so the next Xbox which will compete with ps5 can still be a part of Xbox one family and then I doubt that switch will be able to overtake it ever. |
If Microsoft can make the Xbox One family span multiple generations, then why can't Nintendo do the same for Switch? Nintendo already has a precedent for this with the Game Boy line, which lasted 12 years before getting a full successor.
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True. That’s why I said that this is something really hard to predict. We don’t know what direction each platform holder will take even in 2 years lifespan. And it can affect the situation on the market. I doubt that back in 2012-2013 anyone predicted the mid-gen upgrades and Nintendo dumping wiiu so fast.
