Make your call: how long until Switch exceeds "X1family".

[Pemalite]

caffeinade said:

Aside from being a halo product, I don't expect much in the way of direct sales with the XxX.

I disagree.
I expect a sudden jump in sales with the Xbox One X, but then after the early adoption period (I.E After this holiday period) sales will taper off.
There is always a big rush towards new hardware as soon as it's released. - Heck... It even happened with the WiiU and that was a colossal failure.

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2012/nov/19/wii-u-launch-us-problems

And considering the Xbox One X pre-orders sold out... Well. I expect the Xbox platform to do well over *this* holiday period and the games might carry it next year, but then crash and burn in 2019.

https://www.gamespot.com/articles/xbox-one-x-pre-order-sales-outpace-any-previous-xb/1100-6452864/

caffeinade said:

I think we could see the Switch, or a version of it at the price of about $200 before the end of 2020.
That would be a large driver in sales especially combined with Pokemon, natural celebrity endorsement, and enhanced visibility.
The Switch is finally the console that could potentially break into the mainstream in a good way for the industry (ie, not like the Wii, or as a media hub like the PS2).
The weakest part of the visual design is how it looks in the dock, everything else (like a big vent at the top) can and should be nullified by a Switch revision.

Anyway the numbers are wild guesses that I came up with on the spot.

I am hoping for a Switch hardware revision to lure me into the ecosystem. I'm not happy with the hardware as it is right now, but Nintendo could very quickly and easily change my mind for the better.