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DélioPT on 16 September 2017
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Miyamotoo said:
DélioPT said:

The problem with ports is that, when they arrive, if not really close to the original release date, most of the sales have been done.
When Wolfenstein 2 arrives the game will have released on 2 platforms for at least 2 months and has seen an holiday period.
I say at least 2 months, but it's probably a few more months.

It is important how you start, but history showed that that it isn't enough. What matters is how move along.
And in that regard, yes, Switch has had a great year (great, innovative concept + several system sellers). But that is 2017.
We know very little of 2018; we have no real idea if Switch's success is enough to warrant better 3rd party support next year and beyond.

Actually, the hardest tests (if 3rd party games can sell well) are yet to arrive: Fifa 18, NBA 18, Skyrim, Doom.
If these games sell well enough you can bet that instead of ports we will get multiports, but if sales aren't that great (not the same as bad), we might just keep getting ports after ports.

I know there's time to announce more games, i just find it strange that they chose to start announcing games that are coming in (at least) late March and not in January, February.
It's the order of reveals that i found odd.
It's nothing big, just... strange.

Again, clear fact is that Wolfenstein 2 announcement is announcement of new game, not announcement of port/remaster of some old game, fact that will come later to Switch doesnt change that fact.

Actual history tells us that only console that started strong and failed is Sega Dreamcast, but that much more has with that how Sega didn't had any money to continue supporting Dreamcast than anything else. Switch actually started stronger than Dreamcast and we know that Nintendo is full of money. If Switch has great 1st year, there are very high chances that will have strong other years, because Switch with every new game is becoming more and more attractive platform, also again, it's much easier to continue momentum than need to save platform. And Switch is becoming only platform that Nintendo will suport, so you dont have any reason to suspect they will drop Switch succes. We actualy seeing that contine great sales of Switch and raising of Switch instal base direclty means better 3rd party support, how time is passing we will have more and more 3rd party support, and definitely much more 3rd party anancument for next year then we had this, because plenty of 3rd party with Switchafter Wii U taked "wait and see aprouch".

Those game will sell OK because they have extra value and offer full handheld mode compared to PS4/XB1/PC version of games, and thats why for instance Bethesda is relasing Skyrim, Doom and Wolfenstein 2.

Again, it can only be strange if you totally ignoring what Nintendo is doing in recent times and espacily with Switch, where they are focusing on games that will be out soon.

"fact that will come later to Switch doesnt change that fact."

In terms of sales it doesn't change the big picture. Why? Because most of it's sales will be done on the available versins.
When the Switch version arrives, it won't matter if it was announced after or before the game came out. What will matters is: who else is there that hasn't got the game?

This is the problem with getting a late port.

You could also use the PS3's start to show that being 3rd at the beggining of your lifecycle, doesn't mean you'll be stuck there.
Or, from another point of view. XB360 was for most of it's lifetime, ahead of the PS3, yet, it lost that position.
So, i say that, it doesn't really matter how you start. What matters is how you keep momentum or even increase it.

"And Switch is becoming only platform that Nintendo will suport, so you dont have any reason to suspect they will drop Switch succes."
First, you are assuming that there's no 3DS successor in the works, as of now, or that they won't start developing games for it in 2018, for example.
Second, assuming that they will only Switch to support in the coming years... there's two things that need to be said about it: a) it's not just a matter of quantity. You also need to create/bring system sellers, otherwise you risk increasing your userbase by a little (mostly giving your current users what to buy, instead of strongly creating more consumers);  b) rumor has it that Nintendo is now focusing more on big games. Which could lead to not so many games, as we both expect.

"raising of Switch instal base direclty means better 3rd party support"
Wii did that. Did it get better 3rd party support? No.
What will count is who Switch's userbase is: is it your old Nintendo fans who don't really care about 3rd party games or is it being made of Sony and MS owners  - who are willing to buy an "inferior" version for the sake of portability.
Only time will tell and that is why i said Switch's biggest tests are still to come.

Even if they have extra value (Fifa 18 is actually missing content, btw) and offer portability, not everyone is willing to rebuy the game or buy it on Switch instead of PS4/XB1, just because it's portable. It's adds a great value to the Switch version, but...

You're still not getting Miyamotoo.
Revealing your January, February and March games first - than those coming in Spring - in no way invalidates Nintendo's way of announcing games for the short term or long term.
It's about them revealing, for example, a March/April game, and not a January or February game.

In other words, it's the order of announcements for the short term period that i found strange.