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Barkley said:

It will certainly be up YOY, Third Parties underperformed in 2016 and the only holiday exclusive was Last Guardian, which isn't exactly a system seller.

I don't think it will reach 20m though. 18-19m is my guess for now, 2017 is going to be the peak year for ps4.

2017 - 19m (72.4m total)

Nice I was wondering when I'd made this prediction, though I think I first predicted 2017 as peak the end of November 2016.