Kotaku - Switch is Dominating PS4 in Japan

[outlawauron]

killeryoshis said:

outlawauron said:

Going to need some stronger showings in Japan first. The more niche offerings have done pretty well in the West (except Fate: Extella), but they've not done very well in Japan. Considering that the majority of PSV games have been on PS4 for the past year or two, I see a far more likely near future of PS4 only and PS4/Switch games.

What?

Ps4 is a 8th generation console so of course it will look like it has more support. Right now we are in the transition of 8th to 9th generation. I expect that the number of PS4/Vita titles to go down and replaced by more PS4/Switch titles. Right now 3rd parties are just porting games right now to the Switch. However by 2019 we will start seeing more full fledged support. The 3DS devlopers will also start putting titles on the Switch as early as next year. Also  I am expecting Sony to release the PS5 in 2018 or 2019 so.  PS4 will be declining in support by 2019 . When 9th generation is in full swing I expect the Switch to have a bulk of the 3rd party support by 2020.  

So in 3 years, you expect the only platform Nintendo has to have the bulk of 3rd party support? I guess that's assuming the PS5 will be a huge flop in JP and worldwide.

As for declining support, it just depends on a lot of factors. PS3 just this year started to get excluded from most multiplats, so I don't expect PS4 support to just vanish because a successor has been announced. Not sure on how all of the handheld devs will go. Plenty have already migrated to mobile, so I imagine that'll just continue to happen. Those that have remained will likely turn to Switch but we're talking about a small group (all that's left on 3DS now is Nintendo staple series and kids game/anime adaptations). I would wait around and see, because even when Nintendo held market dominant positions with their handhelds and consoles, they still didn't get the bulk of 3rd party JP support (even 3DS vs Vita).

Although, I'm not sure how much that'll matter as long as they get the big 3rd party games, which is what happened in 3DS vs. Vita.