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DélioPT said:
Peach_buggy said:

The Switch will be fine next year, the 4 big guns from this year will doubtless become "evergreen" titles next year which will carry momentum without whatever Nintendo is working on next year. Far from resting on their laurels, i'm sure there will be some big titles we don't even know about yet. The Switch can't even keep up with demand in the 4, possibly 5 biggest markets worldwide. When supply has met demand, then we'll talk and when pokemon hits, well i actually expect records to be broken. That's if they will even be able to keep up with demand again.

What we have seen for next year is, so far, very poor (Kirby, FE and Yoshi).
No doubt those games will sell well, specially FE. But, what system sellers will we have next year? It's not a new Zelda, MK9? Too soon. Smash? Probably. 2D Mario? Probably. Animal Crossing? Probably.

Nintendo always had evergreen titles. It's not something that, by itself can spell success. MK8 did amazing on a console that sold very poorly, for example.
A continuous flow of system sellers is needed to attract the Nintendo fanbase but to attract the non-Nintendo gamer.

I have no doubts Pokemon will sell a ton of Switchs, but i'm still a bit unconvinced on how many copies it can sell and how much it can do for Switch.
Of course that it's too soon to say when we don't even know what it's competition will be (from Sony and MS).


Wyrdness said:

Except that's a null and void argument because the 3DS/Vita era lasted longer and are still going in a non monopoly era than the GBA, the GBA getting to that mark faster then dying out doesn't really give it any ground as evidently it has been outsold in total portable units.

Many of the titles I mentioned are titles that drive sale that's the point, along with first party titles momentum will be maintained just fine.

It is you who doesn't see it as a successor as you're buying into marketing PR, Nintendo themselves see it as a portable and will handled as such more so than they will as a console. Marketing it as a console is for increased western appeal and to sell the platform at a higher price and sell software at higher prices, believing it's not a 3DS because of PR is like still believing the DS isn't the successor of the GBA.

How GBA reaching HW and SW levels as fast as it did when compared to 3DS or 3DS+Vita, isn't relevant?
You have two machines against one and even then they needed more time to sell as many systems as GBA.
Heck, even if you take out the 15 million consoles GBA sold after DS came out, GBA still kicks 3DS' ass easily, HW and SW wise.

There are a lot of titles that can spur sales a week, maybe two, when they come out, but that's not what we are talking about.
We are talking about those games that sell a lot of HW and can even raise the bar for HW sales for weeks and weeks; those type of games that people wait to come out before they buy the console.

Nintendo were the ones who claimed it's not a successor to both Wii U and 3DS, they even said they aren't thinking about a successor for 3DS - something they haven't said about Wii U - and when they market it as home console gaming on the go, exactly how do they see it themselves as a portable? What did they say that makes you think that? Because all signs point at them treating it like it's a home console (with portability).

I think you are overthinking  this far too much. Switch is a runaway success right now and that's with it being heavily supply constrained. We don't even know what the actual demand for this thing is, due to all of the major territories selling outof stock almost as soon as it gets them. Notwithstanding whatever Nintendo brings out next year, there is obviously pent up demand for the console and the titles already out for it. Until we actually know the actual demand of the Switch, once Nintendo has met it, then we will have a better idea on the momentum. For now, simply meeting demand will drive momentum.