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Miyamotoo said:

 

Louie said:
It's hard to properly compare Switch sales to other consoles as the Switch has been so heavily supply constrained for the past few months. We've had supply constraints with the Wii, DS and PS2 in Japan in the past but never so severely (as in, never has total weekly supply been so low for a platform). It'll be interesting to see where sales stabilise over the next months. The Switch is and will be a success in Japan but the question is: Will Nintendo deliver the wrong software, making the Switch stagnate at 15 million lifetime? Or will it be a 20 million seller like the 3DS? Or will it shoot into the stratosphere like the original DS and sell 30 million total?

Switch is selling like crazy and Nintendo cant keep up with demand, and Switch yet to receive in future years huge system sellers like Pokemon, Animal Crossing, Monster Hunter (not port of old one). Just look how many Pokemon games 3DS recived..

Yes, but Nintendo could still deliver the wrong software like they did with the Wii U. Don't get me wrong, I'm very optimistic. I think the Switch has the potential to sell more than 100 million units worldwide and definitely 20+ million in Japan. But the Wii started off great, too and then Nintendo decided to focus on games that weren't mass market friendly. Nintendo has this bad habit of pushing stuff people don't want once they are successful, like 3D Mario over 2D Mario, despite the former selling less. Or abandoning Wii Sports despite the game being huge. Or not putting effort into Wii U versions of games that sold well on the Wii. I just hope they learned from their mistakes this time. If they did, the Switch is going to clear those 100 million units worldwide and even has a chance to match the sales of the original DS.