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Oyvoyvoyv said:
Actually, are you sure Brawl will pass MKWii with Europe launch?

Last week, MK sold 170K more than Brawl. Before European numbers, Brawl was 60K ahead.

It sold 76K this week in Others, meaning that MKWii is 16K ahead before Japan and American numbers are in.

This means that for MKWii not to fall behind Brawl, it must have sold more over the next 3 weeks in America, Japan and Others, than Brawl will on its launch week in Others + the weekly sales in Japan + America.

Now let's see. If Brawl launches with 750K in Others, it will sell about 800K that week. That means we have around 800K to beat Brawl with in 3 weeks in America and Japan, and 2 weeks in Others.

In America, it normally sells about 50-60K more than Brawl. If we say 60K, that's 180K for the 3 weeks.

It sells about 40-50K more in Japan, so let's say 150K there.

It could sell 100K more in Europe, not likely, but definately possible. So 200K there.

That's 630K right there.

Now, all it has to do in the SSBB launch week, is to sell 270K, which is a bit high.

These numbers are of course a bit high, but they show that it is possible for MKWii to stay above SSBB for launch week in Europe at least, and if it does that, I have a feeling that it will be able to stay above.

If SSBB sells less than 750K, it would have to sell less. At 500K, MK should be a sure leader.




 You realise that the second week of Brawl in Europe will also be higher than MKWii though.... so even if MKWii manages to stay ahead on the launch week (I am doubtful) SSBB will sell more than it WW for 1-3 weeks after that at least.