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hudsoniscool said:
My take for first full year.
< 1 million= failure
1-1.5 million= ok but on the bad side
1.5-2 million= ok but on the good side
2-2.5 million= good
2.5-3 million = great
3-3.5 million = fantastic
Anything more is unrealistic for a 500$ box. It's also near impossible to guess lifetime sales, as we don't yet know if it will play next gen games.

Looking at your sig I have trouble taking your assumptions serious, no offense. ;)