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Hiku said:

I see the term thrown around a lot. But what portion of Xbox One sold needs to be an X for you to consider it a success?

1:5?
1:4?
1:3?

Keep in mind that 1:5 PS4s sold is a Pro, and Sony said it sells a bit above what they expected.

What do Microsoft expect for X? And will it meet their expectations?

I assume sales initially will be much higher than just 1:5...a lot of hardcore fans who were duped about the low power of X1 will replace theirs with an X1X during the first months. If MS, other than Sony, can keep up with the demand I even think 1-2 Million are possible till the end of the year. If X1S sales continue to slow down as seen recently the rate could well be 1:3 or so, even though some moms will still go for cheap X1Ss for their kids.

It remains to be seen if the demand after the first 3 months will keep up...I assume it won't until the inevitable first price drops. If games like RDR2 though will show a big leap in comparison to PS4Pro it might still do well. If not it will have a hard time agains a 150 Dollar cheaper PS4 Pro.