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thismeintiel on 01 August 2017
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Noobie said:
thismeintiel said:

Sony's prediction is to be down by 2M from last F Y year. This report is the first for this FY and they are only down by 200K.  There is little chance they are going to drop 1.8M more in the remaining FY.  Even if they drop 200K each quarter, that's only 800K down for the whole FY. In other words, Sony was being slightly conservative with their forecast.  

Personally, I only see them being down by 1M, so they will be have sold 79M by March 2018.  Do you seriously think that the PS4 is only going to sell 13M for the remaining 3-4 years it's on the market?  Come on, be realistic.  It'll sell 13M, at the very least, up until the next FY is over, March 2019.

The PS4 is outselling the Wii.  Just like the PS1 and PS2 did.

Sony had a Massive Holiday Quarter last year. 9.7 million. I doubt Sony can come close to it this year without dropping the price. 

To me, all indication shows that Sony has no intention of dropping PS4 price permanently this year. If they do drop price than it can definitely do in the range of 9 - 10 million in the holiday quarter. Else I think it will be below 9 million for sure. 

Sony has mostly done near to what it has predicted for the year. Rarely has it overshot those initial estimates. 

Oh, there will be a price cut this year. It'll probably only be $50 for both, Slim to $249 (with a $199 SKU during the holidays) and Pro to $349.  And Sony already used the 78M figure in their PR.  They know for a certainty that's what they can hit.  Anything over is just icing on the cake.  If they had predicted 20M, then most likely we would be seeing a $100 cut to both.