TH3-D0S3R said:
I would say it would be more likely that they would buy a regular model PS4 or X1. An overwhelming majority of people right now dont own 4K TV's, so what's the incentive on spending $500 that has no benefits over the $250 system. X1X currently shows why 4K gaming should've waited, and it honestly makes Nintendo look smart. If someone wanted to get a Switch for their kid even if they are supply constrained, they are more likely to wait and buy the Switch compared to the X1X for a few reasons, some these I've listed. A. The price. I would rather buy a $300 system than a $500 system. I could get the system and 4-5 games as compared to getting the X1X and 2 games. B. The lack of 4K TV's. Studies show an overwhelming majority do not own 4K TV's (I believe it's currently somewhere between 90-95%), so in order to reap the benefits of the X, I need to spend bare minimum $1200-2000 for a good 4K TV, which will total out to a pretty significant investment. Sure as time goes on more people will buy into it for the upgrade, but that's years away. It just doesn't seem viable at this point. C. The exclusives. Name one game on the X that matches Super Mario Odyssey, the premiere holiday game. Heck, nothing right now on the X matches Odyssey, Splatoon 2, Zelda, MK8 Deluxe, even Arms is better than any exclusive on X1 in general, and I know, I own an X1 (and there's Switch games I'm not including). There's not 1 game pushing the X, and a plethora pushing the Switch. Which brings me to my last point. D. The Stigma. The X1 since its reveal has never gotten positive vibes from the crowd. Why would an increased price X1 do anything more? The Switch on the other hand is scene as the hottest console out on the market. Every friend I have shown it to is amazed by it, and just today the guy working on the furnace asked about it, to which I showed it to him, and he said he was probably gonna pull the trigger. The Switch is a monster at this point, and nothing seems to slow it down. If you would've said the base $250 PS4/X1 I might agree, but the X1X stealing Switch sales when it caters to only hardcores seems utterly wrong to me. |
I would just add another reason:
E. Full handheld mode, multipalyer on the go, and controlers for local multiplayer out of box.
At end Switch is too different to any other console market, it has unique concept and possibilities and and very unique and total different exclusive games compared to other consoles. Low avabilite could definitely heart Switch because of people who are buying presents, but if someone really wants Switch it will buy sooner or later in any case.
Insidb said:
1) If they're completely selling out now, which I believe they are, then their current production rate needs to be doubled. Going by VGC's numbers (I know. I know.), they're cranking out about 150K/week now. To hit 1M will require them to ramp it up by 1.7X, and we really don't know how legitimate the "parts war" with Apple is, either. It's a big ask and expectation for them to do that. 2) Well, using the term "system seller" is totally cheating lol. If it sells systems, then it's a system seller that automatically proves your point. If it's a perennial system seller that doesn't sell systems, then the demand can't be driven up by games. Zelda BotW was a system seller for Switch, but not for WiiU, because the latter simply can't use games to move the needle anymore. 1) Availability is supply. |
1) Like I wrote, they don't need to double production in order to hit 10m at end of year. Nintendo numbers are more accurate, and theyshipped 2m in last 3 months April-June.
2) But my point was very clear, demand for Switch is still very strong and Nintendo still did not meet that demand, and with new system seller games, demand will further be increased, with Splatoon 2 demand is now stronger for Switch, and of course it will be much stronger during holiday season in any case and espacialy with Mario Odyssey. Games like Zelda BotW, MK8D, Splatoon 2 and Mario Odyssey will be system seller games even next year not just this one.
3) I know that. Like I wrote, if Switch will supply constrained even in holiday season, they will again sale any unit they can ship in any case. But point is that demand is still very strong, and now because Splatoon 2 is even stronger, its hard to believe that demand will be less in holiday season in any case, espacily with Mario Odyssey launch. And people who really wants Switch will be waiting for better availability and they will buy Switch sooner or later in any case, because Switch is too different compared to any other console on market.
