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TH3-D0S3R on 27 July 2017
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Insidb said:
Miyamotoo said:

1) Nintendo already stated they will have bigger shipments in July and Avgust and that production will further increase starting in the fall.

2) Demand rises with every bigger launched, you can bet now with Splatoon 2 demand is even stronger, and offocurse demand for Switch will huge in holiday season in any case.

3) XB1X is totally irrelevant for Switch, difrent games, difrent concept, difrent price point, that's console for high end market (4k), and battle will mostly be Pro vs XB1X.

1) Nintendo saying that they will increase shipments is not them guaranteeing that they will double their shipments.

2) This is not even remotely accurate: would a new WiiU, 3DS, or X1 launch increase the current demand of any of those systems? 

3) While possible, we have no assurances that parents and chilidren unable to buy a Switch won't spend their money on a Black Friday/Christmas X1X or PS4P. Likewise, until there is a genuine marketing push, we have no assurances that the public's attention won't shift towards it and away from the 2 current leaders. 

I would say it would be more likely that they would buy a regular model PS4 or X1. An overwhelming majority of people right now dont own 4K TV's, so what's the incentive on spending $500 that has no benefits over the $250 system. X1X currently shows why 4K gaming should've waited, and it honestly makes Nintendo look smart. If someone wanted to get a Switch for their kid even if they are supply constrained, they are more likely to wait and buy the Switch compared to the X1X for a few reasons, some these I've listed.

A. The price. I would rather buy a $300 system than a $500 system. I could get the system and 4-5 games as compared to getting the X1X and 2 games.

B. The lack of 4K TV's. Studies show an overwhelming majority do not own 4K TV's (I believe it's currently somewhere between 90-95%), so in order to reap the benefits of the X, I need to spend bare minimum $1200-2000 for a good 4K TV, which will total out to a pretty significant investment. Sure as time goes on more people will buy into it for the upgrade, but that's years away. It just doesn't seem viable at this point.

C. The exclusives. Name one game on the X that matches Super Mario Odyssey, the premiere holiday game. Heck, nothing right now on the X matches Odyssey, Splatoon 2, Zelda, MK8 Deluxe, even Arms is better than any exclusive on X1 in general, and I know, I own an X1 (and there's Switch games I'm not including). There's not 1 game pushing the X, and a plethora pushing the Switch. Which brings me to my last point.

D. The Stigma. The X1 since its reveal has never gotten positive vibes from the crowd. Why would an increased price X1 do anything more? The Switch on the other hand is scene as the hottest console out on the market. Every friend I have shown it to is amazed by it, and just today the guy working on the furnace asked about it, to which I showed it to him, and he said he was probably gonna pull the trigger. The Switch is a monster at this point, and nothing seems to slow it down.

If you would've said the base $250 PS4/X1 I might agree, but the X1X stealing Switch sales when it caters to only hardcores seems utterly wrong to me.