Splatoon 2 did amazingly in Japan for a launch. That's almost half what the original sold lifetime. I'm not sure why people had higher expectations. Splatoon 2 was probably a 1.2-1.5 million seller in the first week, however, that's just an assumption based on the tie-ratio of the other regions' sales on Splatoon 1. ARMS also did pretty good as well for a new IP in sales, but it was butchered by a small install-base and the $60 price tag. If Nintendo doesn't continue the testpunches for ARMS, future Switch owners will likely ignore the game and the sales will be stagnant. It's not the type of game you dish out $60 on unless you've played it, and only people who bought the Switch at launch had the opportunity. Anyway, 10 million seems to be likely. We'll need to see how the Switch holds up in the future, but so far this is comfortable. The Switch software is coming rather slow but the momentum is just being built up.
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