Acevil said:
Can you source your claim, I see 4-7 seats that might switch to democrat possibly and only one that is leaning towards switching to Republicans. Given Republican failures with incompetent president the likely situation is Donald will be lame duck more likely than not. This obviously my assumption it will work more favorable namely if Republicans fail on their budget bill promises, which seems more and more likely. I think a lot of people underestimate when the tide turns it turns. However one thing republicans do have is that mid elections demographically favor them, as a lot dems don't seem to care about mid election. |
http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/
So you think republicans could lose all but 2 of their seats in this senate class? I mean democrats have always dreamed about winning Texas, but even being competitive in Texas is a dream during a midterm, let alone Alabama, Tenessee, Utah, Wyoming, Nebraska, or Missisippi.
2 GOP tossups, 8 democratic. But ignoring the tossup map, you tell me other GOP seats that could possibly flip democratic, because I don't see it.
Only one GOP senate seat is in a state Trump didn't win. Democrats have 10 seats in states Trump won. And unlike in 2012, it is a midterm year; so even though the incumbent party usually suffers, the democrats also have to deal with low turnout (the recent special house elections aren't going to give confidence to democrats who may now not bother voting at all).
Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).