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OK, I am seeing a lot of very optimistic predictions. The people predicting 5 million or more are saying that Splatoon 2 will sell more than any eighth generation game. The people predicting 6 million or more are saying that the Splatoon franchise will be more popular than Pokémon and Animal Crossing. Those expectations seem unrealistically high to me.

FW: 650k
FY: 2 million
LT: 3.5 million