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I believe Switch will outsell Wii U in Q1 2018 at the latest. Nintendo's production might be limited right now, but I think they we will see a steady production increase during the rest of the year. My guess is monthly sales for the rest of the year will look like this;

Juni 600 000-800 000
Juli 800 000
Aug 800 000-1 000 000
Sep 1 000 000-1 200 000
Okt 1 200 000-1 500 000
Nov 1 500 000-2 000 000
Dec 1 500 000-2 000 000
Jan 800 000-1 000 000
Feb 800 000-1 000 000
Mar 800 000-1 000 000

My most conservative figures suggest sales will reach 13,8 million units by the end of this fiscal year (March 31 2018), suggesting Switch will outselling Wii U in the second or third week of March.

My most optimistic figures suggest sales will reach 17,3 million units by the end of this fiscal year, suggesting Switch will outsell Wii U in the third week of December.

I'd say the most likely scenario would be for Switch to overtake Wii U sales in February 2018. That's my bold prediction ;)