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Patcher is never right with his wild claims, only when it is something safe like Switch outselling Xbox One this year (everyone can see that). How he become the industry's most reputable analyst I have no clue. He is a fanboy of his own design and throws doomsday scenarios to whatever side he wants to fail at a given moment. He said once that Nintendo would never recover from the Wii U failure, that handhelds alone wouldn't be enough to keep them afloat. Someone needs to collect all his claims and weigh them out. There are forum members here that are better predictors and we don't even get paid to make them. 

So so sick of hearing about Pachter. The only topic worth talking about when he makes a claim is Patcher himself and even then it should be ignored.