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Tough to say. Doesn't it usually sell 7-8 mil a year? Add the fact it doesn't have a new halo or gears coming out this year, and a $500 pro version coming out, I see sales beginning to slow considerably. Especially now that switch is outselling it even. So let's say the 30ish million number is correct, it should be around 36-37 million by year's end.

2018 should see sales reach 42-43 million. 2019 might get close but probably fall short by a million or two before the next Xbox launches. That's my two cents on the matter.

 

 

Edit:  I see the X doing very little to nothing for the install base in any meaningful way. Especially with PS4 slim at $249-$299, Switch at $299 and XB1 S at $249.