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Looking at the graph on this thread http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=228581&page=1 , you can see that pretty much every console has settled their baseline after their 10th week.

Now, I know the Switch suposedly has been having low stocking issues so I will take that into consideration and go with a baseline of around 190K with a relatively big bump for Splatoon week so...

July: 900K,  

August: 800K