Shadow1980 said:
Best-guess estimates are apparently: [NSW] 195K And with that I'll have to update my charts. I hate not having exact numbers anymore, but this'll have to do. Hopefully the margins of error for the best predictors aren't too far off. The #1 guy has the Switch beating the PS4 by 10k when the PS4 was the top system in May, so that means the margin of error is at least 2.5 to 3 percent, assuming the PS4's victory was very narrow. |
How is the NeoGAF best guess calculated? Is it based on lowest total difference (as in 10k off the Switch adds 10k, 5k off the PS4 adds 5k etc.), or best percentage difference (as in 10k off a system that sold 100k adds 10, while 10k off a system that sold 200k adds 5)? You should be able to come closer to an estimate based on that.
EDIT: It appears that it's the cumulative unit difference that decides, so I'll do my best to work out a definitive range based on that thread.
EDIT2: Well, it seems literally everyone in that thread overestimated the Switch, so you can't really work out where it should be except above like 140k... Not much information from that number haha.
