By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Turkish on 25 June 2017
Edit Thread
VideoGameAccountant said:
Lawlight said:

Very good post. If Sony decides to kill the PS4 after the PS5 like they did with the PS3, then 100M will be harder to reach but it will still reach it. If not, I think we're looking at 110M.

One thing to note is Switch puts a bit wrench into everything. It has come out in the middle of the PS4's life cycle and may take Japanese development away from Sony (as Switch sales in Japan are much stronger). Sony could transition sooner than they otherwise would off. Of course, this is pure speculation on my part. 

You talk about Nintendo taking this and that, but so far it's PS4 taking things away from Nintendo. A new Monster Hunter which is essentially MH5, and then of course DQ11 which is developed first on PS4. Sony got the 2 biggest brands away from them.

The Switch's 3rd party support will mostly only consist of Japanese games and these will also come to PS4. The Switch will be what Vita was to PS4, PS4 will always get the ports.

PS4 is already outselling the Switch in America and in Europe Sonyland things wouldn't be different. The Switch isn't eating into PS4s sales, it's more like the successor to the 3DS, Nintendo has their own market, both can sell well.

Lawlight said:
ZhugeEX said:

I think it'll reach the 100m mark through the initiatives that we know of. 

Price drops, push into new / growing markets, new game software, online growth, playlink etc...

To give a final LTD number for PS4 is a lot harder because it depends a lot on when 'next gen' starts and also how Sony handle the transition. 

 

Besides, what's more important is how engaged users are on PS4 both in regards to time and spend. PS4 is already the market leader when it comes to hardware. Now it's time to see how software and network sales continue to grow. 

Very good post. If Sony decides to kill the PS4 after the PS5 like they did with the PS3, then 100M will be harder to reach but it will still reach it. If not, I think we're looking at 110M.

The PS4 is on track selling 100M in time for its 6th anniversary. It could sell another 10M by its 7th anniversary (and beyond), at which time the PS5 would come out (fall 2020).

PS4 isn't gonna lose steam anytime soon, they're up YoY this year thanks to the exclusives barrage in spring and soon the big 3rd parties will come out which they've the marketing to. 2018 doesn't look too different, solid 1st party output and the behemoth RDR2. 2019 will have TLOU2, Death Stranding and likely FF7R or KH3 finally coming out. PS4 could be the top selling console until 2020.

I predict its final LTD to be between 105-115M. They have this gen locked.