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The truth is I think All three systems have a very good chance at being successful. Thw Wii has had an outstnding run the first year & a half of it's life, yet allot of it''s succes has been built on Nintendo fan and the new gamer market. Although yes all 3 consoles are new gen systems the Wii is much more affordable and caters to a different mrket group. Sony and MS just need to keep doing what they have been doing. honestly the PS3 and 360 are selling very well, Nintendo is just having an unreal run right now. Console generation are not winner take all, so all three can be very successful.