BOLD PREDICTION: The PS4 will outsell the 3DS+Wii U

[DonFerrari]

tak13 said:

DonFerrari said:

Nope. Just asking what is the point in poiting that on a small period it had a growth to try and win an argument when the official shipment is Fiscal Year and on that it was down and anyway was lower than 11M that was the base made to say it could outdo PS4.

 Again, I didn't make any reference to that...

In fiscal year 3DS is yoy up, in calendar year  is slightly yoy down which is because of New 3ds xl release in the first quarter of 2015...

I shouldn't make lawlight aware of 3ds growth in mid 2016 and about the selling out in the USA on holidays ?

Yes you may make him aware of that, still won't make that relevant. The handheld is on it's dying days.

tak13 said:

DonFerrari said:

Even here you have to bring the almost double userbase double sw sold?

Have  I said it again ? A bit arbitary I know but it's not irrational, there is some basis on that.

The 62% of wii u owners have the game,  almost every new wii u owner after MK8 release was buying wii u and mk8 along with wii u owners before MK8 release, so mario kart 8 attach rate was increasing every quarter, instead of falling as installbase was increasing.

 

If wii u had been bought from another 14m people, what makes you think that the 5.5m from them wouldn't acquire a MK8 copy? 

Okay,  I exaggerated, do you want me to decrease it to 12m ?

I'm pretty sure you have said predictions that doubling the HW of the WiiU it would double the main SWs sales...

On 2 or 3 of those threads our good porcupine user posted graphics showing how userbase doesn't correlate to sw sales... look at Uncharted for example, the growth on SW sales is basically indiferent to HW increase (the game increased on popularity an not on HW), because if this suposition of doubling was true then Mario Kart if released on PS4 would sell 40M? You see how ridiculous that claim is?

tak13 said:

Kerotan said:
You know a console hasn't sold well when you say it "could" have sold 20m+ like that's a pretty low number as it is.

Anyway epic prediction der nobel. i'll be sure to link him this over on vizioneck where he still posts. he may start preparing the crow early.

I will make a prediction in the end of the year, that switch will outsell ps4+xbox one  ( lets say 110m+45m ) , and this suprisingly ends up happening...

How would you call that ? Lucky guess because I didn't have any compelling evidence!

Although, I have to give credit to dernebel because he called it a bold prediction owing to how premature it was and i'm acting like he didn't.

He didn't just said "I guess PS4 will outsell WiiU and 3DS", he gave quite precise numbers (that seems believable), that 3DS would start declining that year and that WiiU wouldn't do much better than it was doing. So he basically got 3 things right on the prediction not only the end result.

Kerotan said:

tak13 said:

I will make a prediction in the end of the year, that switch will outsell ps4+xbox one  ( lets say 110m+45m ) , and this suprisingly ends up happening...

How would you call that ? Lucky guess because I didn't have any compelling evidence!

Although, I have to give credit to dernebel because he called it a bold prediction since he made it in 2013 and i'm acting like he didn't.

I would say well done tak. You just made a superb prediction. Now go out and serve all that crow. That's what i'd tell you. 

Uhnnn don't think that will happen.