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I think it's going to be a tough climb for them.

A few things have changed in the industry.

One I don't think third parties have the time/resources to put up with Nintendo wanting to be different from everyone else. PS4/XB1 development is taxing these studios to the max as it is, Nintendo coming in and wanting maybe customized versions just to get them to run on their system is a tough sell. A lot of devs just can't spare the resources. Look at how many PS4/XB1 projects are getting delayed as is and the ones that do make their deadlines are likely running their devs ragged.

Secondly, I think even with hardware sales success Switch is going to have to show actual sales success in genre-types that third parties focus on (shooters, adventure, sports, racing, action, fighting games). They all remember the Wii, but they all remember that on Wii the overwhelming majority of sales was crap like Just Dance and Carnival Games and then that whole bubble popped on top of itself around 2010/11. So some publishers may not be impressed just by a fast start. If FIFA has good sales, if Skyrim has good sales, if NBA 2K has good sales, then maybe I think you will see a shift in perception by the bigger publishers.