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It's going to be the Switch, that's what the data indicates,

As of the end of April after 8 week of Switch sales, and 17 weeks of PS4:
PS4 4,234,849
NS 3,488,881

Switch is outselling the PS4 on average per week, despite the current supply constraint. It's quickly closed the gap to 750K, and Switch will have the bigger summer, surpassing PS4 for the year during that time.

Typically, Nintendo benefits more from holiday season sales than other companies, and they're targeting 18 million consoles to be produced this year, and this number has risen twice already in the last 3 months, and could rise again over the next 6. More so this year considering PS4 doesn't have as exciting a holiday this year as last year. So, in other words, the holidays, rather than affording PS4 the opportunity to catch up, will most likely extend Switch's lead considerably.



I describe myself as a little dose of toxic masculinity.