Back in January, a couple of weeks after the Switch’s low point (That janky January conference), I said the switch would sell 80M Lifetime.
This is assuming they discontinue the 3DS, Vita, and Wii U, and developers from all 3 platforms move over to the Nintendo Switch.
The Wii U has already ended, and I think the Vita has to be close to ending production. The last piece is when will Nintendo finish the 3DS. I think it will be before 2019.
Once that happens the Switch is the de facto handheld console, which, historically, has always done very well for Nintendo.
The sweet creme filling is that they have successfully raised the price ceiling of handheld games to $60. This is a great opportunity for larger games to expand the handheld market (such as Breath of the Wild).
And, the Switch is very capable hardware with very good middleware support.
Plus, being portable and always multiplayer ready with 2 joycon makes this system the most social gaming system yet. It is so so easy to jump in and start playing with friends without any additional cost, hardware, or preparation. Natural viral marketing at its finest.
Oh and icing on the cake, it is also a Home Console. :P
If Nintendo hits a home run at e3 I will revise my prediction to 100M Lifetime.
