| TheSource said: I'm expecting this game to follow a similar pattern to Devil May Cry 4, but with much higher initial sales. DMC4 had 140k day one in Japan on PS3. Going by the preorders, I think this can do 20-30% more day one, probably 175k day one. I had initially expected it to do 225k week one in Japan, but that looks low now. I think 240k-280k is pretty likely. In Japan it will do something like... 260k-60k-40k-18k-10k-6k-4k-3k-etc. But it will perk up when PS3 hw boosts from other games, and during holidays to over 10k I'm sure. Can probably do 500k week one in the Americas with comparably lousy legs. Maybe 450k week one in Others with slightly better legs than the other two regions. I think something like 1.5 million A/1.75 million O/600k J is likely lifetime. Thats pretty good really given that none of the Metal Gear Solids have ever topped 6 million and the most recent one, MGS3, was around four million.
I'm not even sure GTAIV will hit 7-10 million on PS3 lifetime, so even with a bundle its hard to imagine MGS4 reaching 7-10 million ever, let alone by the end of 2008. |
One question,
Is your estimation figure of 240k-280k without reported 80.000-100.000 mgs4 bundles? I mean in that case over all sales will be bigger for first week.
