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So for instance 70m would be considerd for failure!? :D

Its doesnt work like that, you cant say 3DS+WiiU instal base to be considered for success, Nintendo can easily make more profit than they made with 3DS/Wii U with sold less Switch units than 3DS/WiiU combined.

I agree with some people in this thread that 50m+ would be success, but I wouldn't call even 40m failure. I any case, I expect that Switch will hit at least 3DS numbers of sales.



Barkley said:

In my opinion 50m+ would definitely be a success, failure is a strong term, to me it'd have to sell less then 25-30m to be classed as such, not 80m.