I'm thinking that home consoles will still be the main place for AAA games for at least another decade. But, by that time, I think they will have completely merged with PCs. So, we may have boxes in our living rooms that look like consoles. But, they will be PCs. I imagine that XBox and PS will still be the brand names on many of those boxes, but I'm not sure if MS or Sony will still own them. Frankly, I was surprised that MS ever got into the console business to start with. They were almost completely a software company when they launched XB. Nowadays, they do a little more hardware. Still, gaming consoles seems like a strange business for them to remain in, once they get PCs into everyone's living rooms.
Mobile will completely replace handheld within the next 15 years, with the possible exception of dedicated gaming devices for kids (that would play the same mobile games, just without a full web browser, phone, etc.)
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