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Soundwave on 13 May 2017
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RolStoppable said:
Soundwave said:

Well aside from the general statistic, if a PS2 owner was 19 (Sony's own self proclaimed target age) in 2000, they would be 37/38 today. I'm willing to bet life changes a fuck-ton from 19 to 37 for most people. It's very hard to play games the same way the older you get and the more responsibilities you have in life, I don't think that's something ancedontally unique to me. 

The thing is that people tend to surround themselves with like-minded people. For example, if someone is only looking at their friends, they might see that everyone favors and votes the same political party. However, that doesn't mean that the political party in question is the most popular in the country.

So when you base a market analysis for the video games market exclusively on your friends or your fiance, it's simply not a good basis to evaluate what's going on.

It's just a prediction (which is pretty much all this board is anyway). If I was doing full featured market analysis, someone damn well better be paying for that. 

I don't think the Switch is going to find an audience with that Just Dance/1,2 Switch crowd that Nintendo thinks, it's not another Wii, but they will find an added audience from older enthusiast gamers who like that the device fits their life style better than other consoles do. 

It also explains why something like Bomberman ... a property someone likely over the age of 30 would only really recoginize, and a game that has virtually zero marketing, is doing well on Switch, whereas Just Dance doesn't appear to be. 

If they can get an extra 15-20 million from that older crowd that did not purchase a Wii U and add that to their 3DS base, well there's your 100 million right there. That's a small fraction of the general market too, it's not some lofty goal IMO.