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NATO said:
Bofferbrauer said:

The supply vs demand contraint doesn't get solved by having less buyers, but by increasing the shipments. Which is what Sony did and what Nintendo is currently trying to do.

Also, your graph made me both laugh and facpalm. PS4 got launched during the holiday season, of course they had large supplies in stock for that occasion (every console manufacturer does, even when it's still supply constrained throughout the rest of the year, see the Wii), hence why the sales go up quickly again after the initial shipments have been sold. Nintendo didn't lauch during the holiday season, hence they didn't have a large stock in their backhand to react quicky (plus, the Wii U failure made them wary about overproduction).

Finally, why do you think the Switch sales will drop down so hard after a couple of months? Because Xbox ONE and PS4 dropped down after their 2 first months? They released during the holiday season ffs, of course sales drop down sharply in january when all the black friday deals and gifts have been made and done.

a launch is a launch, how many you can build and ship has nothing to do with how many you can sell unless you are specifically holding back supply to prevent the retail channel being overloaded, so either youre saying nintendo are artificially creating stock shortages or youre saying that companies can magically make more consoles for a launch if that launch is before a major holiday, either option is wrong.

its obvious that demand outstripped the capacity at which they were able to manufacture them, so using the time of year as an excuse means nothing, ashas been said before, you cant sell what you havent got, when your production capacity is below that of your sales capacity, arguing that they would "obvioisly sell more if it released before the holidays" is nonsensical, what exactly would they be selling? hopes and dreams? 

I'm saying neither, I say that for a holiday launch the companies keep huge stocks in reserve to quickly refill the stocks as they are supposed to sell much faster then compared to any other time of the year. I bolded that part in my previous post so you could see that I was saying that all along. If the Switch would have released during the hildays, you could be damn sure the console would have had a much bigger stock in reserve. But this stock was what made the Wii U so expensive for Nintendo. The huge stocks for holidays was the reason why the Wii U had to be stopped from production for several months, they kept a big reserve and when the console failed to sell simply reducing the production wouldn't have been enough to empty the halls clogging with unsold consoles in a reasonable timeframe

And like you're saying, demand is obviously outstripping the production for the Switch. Now explain me again why the Switch is supposed to drop to near Xbox ONE numbers. Why are you expecting the demand to drop by more than half? For what reason would it do so?