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NATO said:
peachbuggy said:

6 weeks behind that is true but we all know that in the present time Switch is still severely supply constrained in ALL major territories. As for your prediction, you really think sales are gonna drop that low during the Splatoon launch window? You really need to think before you post. I doubt Nintendo will have even caught up with demand by Splatoon launch.

Thanks for the assumption, but I've been paying close attention, thanks.

While it's true that there is still supply constraint issues and Nintendo are lagging behind Sony in terms of restocking to remedy that at launch, demand will eventually level out to a point where supply exceeds that demand, and looking closely at the supply constraint versus demand of all consoles since sixth gen, I came to the conclusion that Switch will reach that point by July, where stock will be available and the device will be averaging 100-150k per week, with the exception of major title release spikes, as expected for any new console, and as illustrated by weekly sales numbers for consoles in their first year.

So, want to revisit that "think before you post" nonsense?

The supply vs demand contraint doesn't get solved by having less buyers, but by increasing the shipments. Which is what Sony did and what Nintendo is currently trying to do.

Also, your graph made me both laugh and facpalm. PS4 got launched during the holiday season, of course they had large supplies in stock for that occasion (every console manufacturer does, even when it's still supply constrained throughout the rest of the year, see the Wii), hence why the sales go up quickly again after the initial shipments have been sold. Nintendo didn't lauch during the holiday season, hence they didn't have a large stock in their backhand to react quicky (plus, the Wii U failure made them wary about overproduction).

Finally, why do you think the Switch sales will drop down so hard after a couple of months? Because Xbox ONE and PS4 dropped down after their 2 first months? They released during the holiday season ffs, of course sales drop down sharply in january when all the black friday deals and gifts have been made and done.