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I think there's one game people are overlooking: Sonic Forces.

Sonic games typically sell well on Nintendo platforms; Colours, Secret Rings, Black Knight, and Unleashed all passed a million on Wii, while Adventure 2, Heroes, and DX passed a million on Gamecube.

Even if it doesn't get there by the end of Switch's first year, I'd be surprised if Forces doesn't cross the million mark on Switch eventually. (Unless it turns out to be another Boom/06 fiasco)