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| Slarvax said: No one got comparisons to other Nintendo systems? |
I did, for the first five quarters of some Nintendo and Sony consoles. I tried to align launches whenever it was possible:
| Wii | 20.14 | (19.8%) |
| 3DS | 17.13 | (23.8%) |
| Switch | 12.74 | |
| GameCube | 6.68 | (30.7%) |
| Wii-U | 5.86 | (43.4%) |
The last number meaning how much the first five quarters make up of lifetime sales. Consoles with strong starts end up doing better.
If the DS was there, it would have an astoundingly low 9.8% of its lifetime sales on its first five quarters...
| DS total | 15.03 | (9.8%) |
| - Original DS | 15.03 | (~75%) |
| - DS Lite | ~28.00 | (~30%) |
| - DSi | ~16.00 | (~39%) |
| - DS, after DS Lite | ~28.00 | (20.9%) |
However, it really only took off after the DS Lite launched, so it has a quite unique pattern matched only by the Sony consoles:
| Playstation 4 | ~18.50 | |
| Playstation 3 | 10.53 | (12.2%) |
| Playstation 2 | 19.57 | (12.5%) |
| Playstation | ~10.80 | (10.5%) |
Extrapolating from previous Nintendo consoles the Switch could sell some 45-50 million, or maybe a little bit more, since its first quarters missed a holiday season: even 60 million. It is unlikely to do much more, unless it finds a measure of rare success late on its lifetime.
