| Miyamotoo said: It's not only about my personality subject opinion. Fact is that Switch has intresting and good concept that is appealing to home console and handheld market in same time, fact is that Switch has great branding and marketing, fact is that Switch has one of best games like launch title and it will be followed by some of strongest Nintendo IPs in its 1st 9 months, Swith will have full undivided Nintendo support like unified platform including games like Pokemon, and that of course sucha platform will much more attractive for some people than platform that has only handheld games or platform that has only home consoel games. All those things make Switch completely opposite to Wii U and actually much more similar to Wii. Switch had best launch month in history for Nintendo and actualy second best launch month in history in US after PS4, we know that Switch had Nintendo best sales in Europe also for 1st few days, in Japan Switch is selling great and there is no indication that sales will slow any time soon (esapcily with MK8D, ARMS and Splatoon2). There is obvious demand for Switch on market, and Switch will have other huge heavy hitters and system sellers game in its 1st 9 months. All those things are facts, so no, Switch success doesn't "hinges completely on my personal observation based in an extremely deep-rooted bias", its based on those things also, but you can keep ignore those things and act like Switch have similar sales like Vita or Wii U. I agree we can only wait and see, but all things we see currently about sales are all very positive. |
Bolded: Oh my actual god, where on earth have I said it will sell like the Wii U or Vita, just a few posts above yours I'm talking about both 60 and 70 million as the potential. This is absolutely absurd, all you're doing is polarizing the argument for no reason.
Switch has an interesting and good concept is not a fact; that's your subjective opinion, there are plenty of gamers who find it rather uninteresting. So that's a subjective supposition.
Switch has great branding and marketing; I've yet to see any marketing for it here in Scandinavia, besides the posters outside of or in gaming stores and it has zero viral marketing like the Wii. As for branding, it's terribly confusing to the mass market since it looks like a tablet and all outlets are calling it a tablet, but it's not actually a tablet and lacks most of the core functions of one. That's not great branding and those are yet more subjective suppositions.
PS4 had in insane launch, far better than PS2, that doesn't mean it will beat the PS2's lifetime sales, or even come close to them. Front-loaded figures are utterly worthless, long term baseline tells us about the market, not the launch window. It's doing great in Japan, yes, just like I said it would in a previous post to you (the MPV analogy, if you even read it you would know this). This is no indication of stupendous lifetime sales in and on itself, as anyone with basic knowledge on the industry and market would tell you without blinking.
There is obvious demand for the Switch; yes, there is, but how much and in which regions and how long will this demand keep up in the modern, fast-paced market with its form factor placing it near to the devastating smart devices? Again, we know very little until the dust has settled and a long term picture forms. Most consoles released in the past generation(s) were sold out at launch and even for a couple of weeks, this tells us nothing about actual, long term demand. It will have the same system sellers and heavy hitters as all Nintendo consoles, we've been over this before, that software in itself doesn't ensure a long and happy life with incredible sales, as has been seen many times before. The combo of a core concept with great and lasting appeal and great software is what produces the highest selling consoles of all time. This is also senseless at this stage, history is littered with products that had a good start and then failed to live up to immense expectations (but still did well).
So, largely, your arguments are based on subjective notions, or in some cases incomplete or even irrelevant data. And if you finish with claiming that I'm saying the Switch will sell like the Wii U and Vita, that says a lot about the level of your reasoning on the matter, especially when there's actual, written and thorough evidence to the contrary in this very same page and in posts you yourself have quoted.
The Switch's similarity to the Wii U is mainly its attempt at forced market convergence and appealing to two very different demographics with one device, there are a few examples of this strategy doing quite well, but it usually doesn't set the world ablaze. This does not in any way, shape or form mean that the Switch will sell like the Wii U, claiming that is about as silly as claiming it's the new Wii based on what we've seen so far and a mere 6 weeks into its life cycle.
