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I don't really know or understand the Japanese and US markets but can see that the Switch should do well in Japan with such titles especially as they get a better Switch hardware prices I believe and portable systems are far more popular. I think the Vita was a poor seller in the US and that again was a powerful system with a ok but not stellar range of software. It also had a big pricing issue due to using proprietary memory cards. Switch seems similar, high pricing including online, weak range of fairly minor software and a high console price. It seems a similar situation except Switch has a single amazing software title and the home console functionality is much better the rubbish 2 system approach of Sony with Vita and Playstation tv. I think sales in Europe will drop off fairly soon but it looks like US sales will be more robust.

Many of these commercial predictions are based on the high launch numbers but I would of thought they need to see sales for 2-3 months before they can really have a chance of predicting what is going to happen.