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Wright said:
 
Miyamotoo said:

Just we having remaster of most popular Wii U game, system that sold only 13-14m, lotsa Switch owners (curent or future ) didnt had Wii U, and for them MK8D is great new game, and actually lots a Wii U owners will do double-dipping maybe because of full handheld play or new Battle Mode. We dont know if Switch will have MK9 at all, or if it will, when could be arive, so people who want MK will buy MK8D, they will not wait for MK9 when they dont know for sure if will arive on Switch at all or when exatly could arive.

5m is very positive, but not impossible, don't forget MK8 on Wii U has attach rate around 60%, you can bet that lotsa people thought that was impossible also. MK8D is in any case easily 5m+ seller on Switch.

Being the most popular WiiU game makes it for a certainly profitable avenue to remaster and port, but that doesn't strictly has to indicate that it will sell the same amount (let alone 12 million, like OP asks). I'm not really sure the power pull of Battle Mode for most people that bought in on WiiU, but I assume it won't be enough to consider that many amount of double-dips (outside people just wanting to pay for the same game again but in a different platform). Some people that missed it on WiiU can also consider, but I'm not banking either on that many people wanting to play a remaster, and they might entertain themselves with everything else Switch has up this point until the inevitable (because it's almost a given that will happen, and people know it) Mario Kart 9.

5 million is overly positive for the first year. That would mean doing over the 65% of the sales that the game did on the other console lifetime in just a span of six-twelve months, and I just don't see that happening.

It doesn't mean it will sell same amount of course, but you need to take few points in account, its great and was most popular game on Wii U, Wii U had very limited user base, Switch instal base will much larger than Wii U ones and there will be lots a Switch owners who didn't had Wii U, for plenty of them, MK8D will be must have game because will one best and one game with very wide apeling on Switch, for people who didnt had Wii U, MK8D is new game not remaster. Its not point only about new Battle Mode, full portable mode will be for some people game changer for some Wii U owners. You and people dont know at all if Switch will have onother MK game, evre Nintendo platform had only one MK game per platform, so it's not given that Switch will have MK9, maybe it will have, but in that case we dont know when, and definitely not in near future (earliest would be end of 2019.).

Yes, 5m is very positive for 1st year but its still achievable, but it will easily have sales over 5m LT, MK8D will be one most popular Switch games, at least until maybe MK9 arives on Switch, MK8D can have attach rate at least of around 30% before posible MK9 arrives.