Only Minecraft and Street Fighter for May? Can Switch sell well this month?

[Zod95]

Slownenberg said:

Yeah I don't get why you think it will fail so miserably. The Switch is very obviously the successor to both the Wii U and the 3DS, It's a console that doubles as a portable, how is this not clear?? Of course Nintendo is gonna try to say Switch and 3DS will live alongside each other, they still want to sell the 3DS!! Didn't they say the same thing when talking about a 3 system strategy when they tried to say the DS and GBA would sell together with the console (or was it 3DS and DS?).

Two years from now 3DS sales should be dead and Nintendo should be able to sell perhaps a slightly smaller version of the Switch for under $200, picking up the handheld only people. With a release of a full fledged Pokemon game around then the Switch will start eating up their traditional handheld crowd.

As has been said, the Wii U + 3DS market is currently ~80 million and will be over 90 million by the time the 3DS is done selling. There is NO other handheld out or probably coming out anytime soon to compete for the 3DS market (and that's not even including the 15 million PSVita market). And it is pretty clear the Switch is going to be a lot more popular with console gamers than the Wii U, so the Switch selling the combined Wii U + 3DS market of ~90 million is a pretty good bet, give or take let's say 20 million. Saying it's gonna sell 20-25 million just honestly feels like trolling.

Like you, I believe the Switch will steal some handheld sales. That's why I expect it to sell 10M more than the WiiU.

I'm just not as optimistic as you seem to be. The handheld market was over 230M in the last generation and it shrank to 80M this generation. I don't expect it to remain the same in the next few years and I think Switch will only get a fraction of what's left.

I'm not trolling at all. I'm being honest (telling exactly what I feel), transparent (explaining everything you ask me) and commited to my own predictions (having them in my signature, which appears in every post of every thread I'm in).

25M in January 2014 for the WiiU's lifetime sales was also felt like I was trolling. Now we all know I was being too generous.