In 2016, Sony consoles outsold Nintendo consoles by 11 million units, the largest gap (in Sony's favor) in VGChartz history. Of course, this was the PS4's second peak year and the Wii U's death year. But let's imagine that the gap remains 11 million forever. The current gap between PlayStation and Nintendo is roughly 200 million. For Sony to catch up at its 2016 pace, it would take over 18 years.
Of course, Nintendo just launched the Switch, and I don't see the PS4 being up year-on-year by a significant amount, if at all. Since the 3DS and Wii U combined sold 8.5 million units in 2016, it's almost guaranteed that the gap will be smaller this year, even if the 3DS immediately stops being sold, because the Switch alone will sell more than that.
In short, it'll take decades of Nintendo screwing up for that to happen, and that assumes that Sony will continue to make dedicated gaming hardware at all. Who knows what the gaming landscape will look like in 2040?
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