Only Minecraft and Street Fighter for May? Can Switch sell well this month?

[Zod95]

zorg1000 said:

Zod95 said:

Then you're predicting 40M until 31/12/2020 and 80M until 31/12/2023.

I feel compelled to make a prediction to the end of NS's life cycle too. I say 20M until 31/12/2020 and 25M until 31/12/2023. This should make things interesting.

im not sure if you have already done so but could you explain why you think Switch will do so poorly? all signs seem to be pointing at Switch being the successor to both Wii U & 3DS which have a combined 80+ million sold and so far Switch seems to have better marketing, a more desirable concept and better software output than either of them.

I know 3DS+Wii U sold about 1/3 as much as DS+Wii but to expect Switch to sell less than 1/3 of 3DS+Wii U seems like highly unlikely.

"With the small battery life of the Nintendo Switch, it can never fully replace a dedicated handheld, and the company hasn't given up on that market."

"We are not creating a successor to the 3DS right now,” Kimishima said in response to whether he believes in the two-screen approach. “We are, however, still thinking of portable systems. We are thinking of ways that we will be able to continue bringing portable gaming systems out, so yes, we are thinking of different ways to continue the portable gaming business."

(http://www.digitaltrends.com/gaming/nintendo-3ds-successor/)

"As for your question on the Nintendo 3DS, we believe it can coexist with Nintendo Switch for the time being."

(https://www.forbes.com/sites/olliebarder/2017/02/06/following-the-news-of-a-successor-to-the-3ds-here-is-what-nintendo-had-to-say-about-it/#3eb2c9b86cda)

Let me know your signs pointing to NS replacing 3DS...

 

Technically speaking, NS does have a more desirable concept and better software output in comparison to the WiiU, just like the WiiU in comparison with the Wii (and see how that went). I expect strong sales at the beginning (just like the WiiU had) and a steep decline until death (just like the WiiU had). Maybe I'm being short-sided, but that's what I see.

Haven't the NS been innovative and catered to the handheld experience (which I believe it does to some extent) and not even strong sales at the beginning I would expect. There's the chance I'm proven wrong and NS actually becomes a huge success like the Wii, but I'm just not betting on that.