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Wyrdness said:
Zod95 said:

From 4th March 2017 to 31st December 2020 how many months do you count? Are you sure it's about 3 years?

So, you believe NS will sell 40M in the first 4 years and another 40M in the 2 or 3 subsequent years? You're aware that no console in history sold in its first 4 years as much as in the remaining 2 or 3 years, right?

No console has been a hybrid Switch is not strictly a console, it caters to two markets the console and portable markets and one of those markets Switch will be the only device for consumers to buy. Vita and 3DS consumers have to go somewhere for traditional portable gaming and right now they total around 80m plus (around 90m by the end of this year), that's a large pool of potential buyers Nintendo has no one else fighting them for and will make up the bulk of Switch owners, any console market consumers will be a bonus but in the end I see a around 80m users for switch.

Then you're predicting 40M until 31/12/2020 and 80M until 31/12/2023.

I feel compelled to make a prediction to the end of NS's life cycle too. I say 20M until 31/12/2020 and 25M until 31/12/2023. This should make things interesting.



Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 70M      WiiU: 25M

Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 100M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 18M

Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 90M      XOne: 40M      WiiU: 15M      Switch: 20M

Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020:      PS4: 110M      XOne: 50M      WiiU: 14M      Switch: 65M