Wyrdness said:
No console has been a hybrid Switch is not strictly a console, it caters to two markets the console and portable markets and one of those markets Switch will be the only device for consumers to buy. Vita and 3DS consumers have to go somewhere for traditional portable gaming and right now they total around 80m plus (around 90m by the end of this year), that's a large pool of potential buyers Nintendo has no one else fighting them for and will make up the bulk of Switch owners, any console market consumers will be a bonus but in the end I see a around 80m users for switch. |
Then you're predicting 40M until 31/12/2020 and 80M until 31/12/2023.
I feel compelled to make a prediction to the end of NS's life cycle too. I say 20M until 31/12/2020 and 25M until 31/12/2023. This should make things interesting.
Prediction made in 14/01/2014 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 100M XOne: 70M WiiU: 25M
Prediction made in 01/04/2016 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 100M XOne: 50M WiiU: 18M
Prediction made in 15/04/2017 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 90M XOne: 40M WiiU: 15M Switch: 20M
Prediction made in 24/03/2018 for 31/12/2020: PS4: 110M XOne: 50M WiiU: 14M Switch: 65M







