Only Minecraft and Street Fighter for May? Can Switch sell well this month?

[Zod95]

DarthMetalliCube said:

Zod95 said:

I'm already on record. See my signature.

When WiiU launched (end of 2012) I was predicting 65M total sales, when most people thought that was an incredibly low number. In the beginning of 2014 (and you can check my signature on that) I was dramatically adjusting it to 25M, and again most people thought that it was too low (almost hateful). Now we all know it will end at around 15M.

Switch is revolutionizing as much as WiiU and I'm only predicting more for it because it sold more than twice (on its first week) than Wii or WiiU.

But I want you on the record too. Make a prediction for Switch total sales by the end of 2020. Then we'll see who's closer.

Wii u has no bearing on the Switch, same way Gamecube had no bearing on the Wii. New generation, brand new start.. Unless you're Sega, but their meltdown was largely thanks to a consistantly weak marketing campaign, oversaturation of consoles, and consistantly horrible business decisions. 

It's not about "revolutionizing," it's just about having solid hardware with great games. Switch is solid hardware. Zelda is a great enough game that it is almost single handedly selling consoles. And there are a ton of great looking games in the pipeline. Once pokemon comes out, that's when things really will take off. Then it's game over.

Sure - I'll go with roughly 40 million by the end of 2020, probably a little more. The console will have more of a slow burn than the Wii, but will still sell steadilly for the next 2-3 years and ultimately sell about as well, and perhaps even better than Wii when it's all said and done.

So you predict 40M in the first 4 years and 60M for the 2 or 3 subsequent years? You're aware that no console in history sold worse in its first for years than in the remaining ones, right?