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nemo37 on 17 April 2017
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FallingTitan said:
RolStoppable said:

This is wrong. Wii U had sold through only 2m by the end of 2012 and went with no momentum into 2013. On the other hand, Switch has sold through over 2m in a single month and has strong momentum, meaning that it will comfortably clear the 3m mark within three months of availability. The Wii U needed more than eight months to cross the 3m mark.

Switch launch numbers mean enough to write off your lifetime sales prediction of 20m units as plain stupid.

WRONG. Your numbers are way off. Heres 2 articles proving my numbers. and if someone can get the vgchartz from back then it will also prove you wrong.

 Read this https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2017/03/dont-read-too-much-into-the-switchs-successful-launch-numbers/

or Wiki

 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wii_U#Launch

 

3.06 milion worldwide by dec 31, 2012. 

 

I remember it well as i am a day 1 wii U buyer! from on here it was the same numbers.

so my prediction is not stupid its spot on. 25 million in 5 years is reasonable for the switch. 

I said this in another forum, but I believe it applies here as well.

While I would say it is too early to tell. The numbers you are reporting are incorrect. If you look at Nintendo's IR data from Jan 2013, they indicated they shipped 3 million units but VGChartz data indicates that they sold around 2 million (if you remeber right after November, there was an issue, particularly in the UK where no one was buying remaining units). In addition, nearly all systems perform relatively strongly out the gate, and some drop off for a while after but are revived late (PS3 and 3DS come to mind). You are making a huge assumption based on a single system as well as the assumption that Nintendo will not respond with marketing tools like price cuts should the system start to linger (early price cuts within the first 6 months helped boost the sales of N64, GC, GBA, DS, and 3DS when they started to linger after their respective launches).