Bloomberg: Nintendo Traders Signal Switch Could Be Bigger Hit Than the Wii

[zorg1000]

Mnementh said:

Wyrdness said:

Where did you get this mate because expectations for the Wii were far from high people back then were predicting that gen to be the one Nintendo does a SEGA.

Or to illustrate my point...

Nintendo-share in the year leading up to the Wii-launch: https://de.finance.yahoo.com/chart/NTO.F#eyJjdXN0b21SYW5nZUVuZCI6MTE2Mzk3NzE5OSwiY3VzdG9tUmFuZ2VTdGFydCI6MTEzMjQzNzYwMCwibXVsdGlDb2xvckxpbmUiOmZhbHNlLCJib2xsaW5nZXJVcHBlckNvbG9yIjoiI2UyMDA4MSIsImJvbGxpbmdlckxvd2VyQ29sb3IiOiIjOTU1MmZmIiwibWZpTGluZUNvbG9yIjoiIzQ1ZTNmZiIsIm1hY2REaXZlcmdlbmNlQ29sb3IiOiIjZmY3YjEyIiwibWFjZE1hY2RDb2xvciI6IiM3ODdkODIiLCJtYWNkU2lnbmFsQ29sb3IiOiIjMDAwMDAwIiwicnNpTGluZUNvbG9yIjoiI2ZmYjcwMCIsInN0b2NoS0xpbmVDb2xvciI6IiNmZmI3MDAiLCJzdG9jaERMaW5lQ29sb3IiOiIjNDVlM2ZmIn0%3D

Nintendo-share in the year leading up to the Switch-launch: https://de.finance.yahoo.com/chart/NTO.F#eyJjdXN0b21SYW5nZUVuZCI6MTQ4ODU4MTk5OSwiY3VzdG9tUmFuZ2VTdGFydCI6MTQ1NzA0MjQwMCwibXVsdGlDb2xvckxpbmUiOmZhbHNlLCJib2xsaW5nZXJVcHBlckNvbG9yIjoiI2UyMDA4MSIsImJvbGxpbmdlckxvd2VyQ29sb3IiOiIjOTU1MmZmIiwibWZpTGluZUNvbG9yIjoiIzQ1ZTNmZiIsIm1hY2REaXZlcmdlbmNlQ29sb3IiOiIjZmY3YjEyIiwibWFjZE1hY2RDb2xvciI6IiM3ODdkODIiLCJtYWNkU2lnbmFsQ29sb3IiOiIjMDAwMDAwIiwicnNpTGluZUNvbG9yIjoiI2ZmYjcwMCIsInN0b2NoS0xpbmVDb2xvciI6IiNmZmI3MDAiLCJzdG9jaERMaW5lQ29sb3IiOiIjNDVlM2ZmIn0%3D

As you can see, the year before the Wii-launch the Nintendo-share was on a constant rise. So the market was already building up expectations about the Wii. On the other hand last year, you had on big jump in expectation, but after that more or less constant value of the share. So the market was cautious. After launch the Wii matched expectations, that's why the share grew slowly but steady and Switch topped expectations, that's why the stronger growth.

when i go to the links, nothing shows up.

Either way, im pretty sure much of that rise was from DS. DS had a relatively slow start, it wasnt bad but it was initially tracking behind GBA and PSP was a strong competitor (PSP actually sold better than DS in 2005 outside of Japan).

However, in Spring 2006 DS had the DS Lite revision and some really killer software like New Super Mario Bros (first original DS Mario in 14 years), Brain Age & Pokemon Diamond/Pearl (in Japan) along with the big Fall 2005 titles like Animal Crossing, Mario Kart & Nintendogs showing great legs. This led to DS sales skyrocketing and went on to sell over 20 million in 2006 and was up nearly 100% YOY.